{"id":13572,"date":"2015-10-03T17:43:29","date_gmt":"2015-10-04T03:43:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.debito.org\/?p=13572"},"modified":"2015-10-04T09:12:54","modified_gmt":"2015-10-04T19:12:54","slug":"my-next-japan-times-jbc-92-oct-5-2015-conveyor-belt-of-death-shudders-back-to-live-on-how-abes-new-security-policy-will-revive-prewar-martial-japan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.debito.org\/?p=13572","title":{"rendered":"My next Japan Times JBC 92 Oct. 5, 2015: “Conveyor belt of death shudders back to live”, on how Abe’s new security policy will revive Prewar martial Japan"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Hi Blog. My next Japan Times JBC 92 crystal balls again about Japan’s future based upon the landmark security legislation passed last month. JBC has been quite right about a lot of future developments\u00a0these past few years. Let’s see how we do with this one. Dr. ARUDOU, Debito<\/p>\n

JUST BE CAUSE<\/strong>
\n\"justbecauseicon.jpg\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Conveyor belt of death shudders back to live<\/strong>
\n By Dr. ARUDOU, Debito<\/strong>
\n Column 92 for The Japan Times Community Page<\/strong>
\n Monday, October 5, 2015<\/strong><\/p>\n

He\u2019s done it.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

As past JBCs<\/a> predicted he would, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has gotten his way. Last month he closed a chapter on \u201cpacifist Japan,\u201d ramming through unpopular new security legislation that now allows Japanese military engagement in offensive maneuvers abroad<\/a>.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

That\u2019s it then. The circle is complete. Japan is primed to march back to its pre-World War II systems of governance.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Now just to be clear: I don\u2019t think there will be another world war based on this. However, I think in a generation or two (Japan\u2019s militarists are patient \u2013 they\u2019ve already waited two generations for this comeback), a re-armed (even quietly nuclear) Japan selling weapons and saber-rattling at neighbors will be quite normalized.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Alarmism? Won\u2019t Japan\u2019s affection for Article 9 forestall this? Or won\u2019t the eventual failure of Abenomics lead to the end of his administration, perhaps a resurgence of the opposition left? I say probably not. We still have a couple more years of Prime Minister Abe himself (he regained the LDP leadership last month unopposed)<\/a>. But more importantly, he changed the laws.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

So this is not a temporary aberration. This is legal interpretation and precedent, and it\u2019s pretty hard to undo that (especially since the opposition left is even negotiating with the far-right these days<\/a>). Moreover, Japan has never had a leftist government with as much power as this precedent-setting rightist government does. And it probably never will (not just because the US government would undermine it, a la the Hosokawa and Hatoyama Administrations<\/a>).<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

But there\u2019s something deeper at work beyond the Abe aberration. I believe that social dynamics encouraging a reverse course to remilitarization have always lain latent in Japanese society…<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Read the rest in The Japan Times at\u00a0http:\/\/www.japantimes.co.jp\/community\/2015\/10\/04\/issues\/japan-rightists-patient-wait-conveyor-belt-death-shudders-back-life\/<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

JBC: He\u2019s done it.<\/p>\n

As past JBCs predicted he would, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has gotten his way. Last month he closed a chapter on \u201cpacifist Japan,\u201d ramming through unpopular new security legislation that now allows Japanese military engagement in offensive maneuvers abroad.<\/p>\n

That\u2019s it then. The circle is complete. Japan is primed to march back to its pre-World War II systems of governance.<\/p>\n

Now just to be clear: I don\u2019t think there will be another world war based on this. However, I think in a generation or two (Japan\u2019s militarists are patient \u2013 they\u2019ve already waited two generations for this comeback), a re-armed (even quietly nuclear) Japan selling weapons and saber-rattling at neighbors will be quite normalized.<\/p>\n

Alarmism? Won\u2019t Japan\u2019s affection for Article 9 forestall this? Or won\u2019t the eventual failure of Abenomics lead to the end of his administration, perhaps a resurgence of the opposition left? I say probably not. We still have a couple more years of Prime Minister Abe himself (he regained the LDP leadership last month unopposed). But more importantly, he changed the laws.<\/p>\n

So this is not a temporary aberration. This is legal interpretation and precedent, and it\u2019s pretty hard to undo that (especially since the opposition left is even negotiating with the far-right these days). Moreover, Japan has never had a leftist government with as much power as this precedent-setting rightist government does. And it probably never will (not just because the US government would undermine it, a la the Hosokawa and Hatoyama Administrations).<\/p>\n

But there\u2019s something deeper at work beyond the Abe aberration. I believe that social dynamics encouraging a reverse course to remilitarization have always lain latent in Japanese society…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,36,22,50,20,26,4,14,64,53],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13572","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-academia","category-bad-social-science","category-cultural-issue","category-gaiatsu","category-history","category-ironies-hypocrisies","category-japanese-government","category-japanese-politics","category-sitys","category-unsustainable-japanese-society"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.debito.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13572","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.debito.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.debito.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.debito.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.debito.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=13572"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.debito.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13572\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.debito.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=13572"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.debito.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=13572"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.debito.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=13572"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}